ted-cruz "Election / Midterm" · key election|midterm · thr 1 · scope named · n 1 · y 1 · rate 1 · l10 Y · streak Y1 · last_y 2026-09-10 · tn 2 · th 1 · tx 2 any* 2026-03-01..2026-08-30 · p 0.54 · p_src hist · next - · as_of 2026-10-27T00:45:15Z · CC BY 4.0 parrot.markets