kamala-harris "Defeat" · key defeat · thr 1 · scope named · n 1 · y 1 · rate 1 · l10 Y · streak Y1 · last_y 2025-07-31 · tn - (no transcript yet) · th - · tx - · p 0.38 · p_src hist · next - · as_of 2026-10-25T05:06:08Z · CC BY 4.0 parrot.markets