barack-obama "Election / Midterm" · key election|midterm · thr 1 · scope named · n 1 · y 0 · rate 0 · l10 n · streak n1 · last_y - · tn - (no transcript yet) · th - · tx - · p 0.32 · p_src hist · next - · as_of 2026-10-25T00:55:02Z · CC BY 4.0 parrot.markets