# sports words · ent nfl · state live · History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026
# listed = games that listed the word; n / y / rate / l10 count one settled observation per game; p = calibrated p for the next listing, p_src its source
# as_of 2026-10-23T23:51:31Z · derived data CC BY 4.0 (credit parrot.markets) · not advice (parrot.markets/disclosure)
key	w	listed	n	y	rate	l10	last_y	p	p_src
late hit	Late Hit	115	115	13	0.11	nnnnnnnnnY	2026-10-18	0.19	hist
safety	Safety	115	115	113	0.98	YYYYYYYYYY	2026-10-18	0.97	hist
one handed	One Handed	115	114	21	0.18	nnnnnYnnnn	2026-10-05	0.15	hist
roughing the passer	Roughing The Passer	113	113	15	0.13	YYYnnnnnnY	2026-10-18	0.25	hist
turf	Turf	111	109	59	0.54	nnYnYnYYYY	2026-10-11	0.49	hist
what a catch	What a Catch	107	107	35	0.33	nnYYYnnnnn	2026-10-05	0.33	hist
trade|traded	Trade / Traded	97	97	75	0.77	nYYYYYnYYY	2026-10-18	0.79	hist
wild	Wild	86	85	60	0.71	YYYYnYnYYY	2026-10-15	0.72	hist
wind|windy	Wind / Windy	79	78	49	0.63	YnYYYYnYYY	2026-10-18	0.6	hist
super bowl|superbowl	Superbowl / Super Bowl	62	62	57	0.92	YYYYYYYYYY	2026-01-04	0.85	hist
contract	Contract	61	61	26	0.43	YYnnnYnnYn	2026-09-09	0.41	hist
pro bowl|pro bowler	Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	58	58	46	0.79	YYYYYYYYYY	2026-08-06	0.73	hist
schedule	Schedule	58	58	31	0.53	nnYnnnYnYY	2026-08-06	0.54	hist
tush push	Tush Push	58	58	20	0.34	nYnYnnnYnn	2026-01-25	0.36	hist
no good	No Good	58	57	18	0.32	nnYnYnnYnY	2026-10-15	0.35	hist
fine|fined	Fine / Fines / Fined	57	57	32	0.56	YnnYnnYYYY	2026-02-08	0.54	hist
hunt|hunting	Hunt / Hunting	57	57	17	0.3	nYnnnnnYYn	2026-01-25	0.32	hist
next gen stat	Next Gen Stat	57	57	24	0.42	YYnnYnYnYY	2026-02-08	0.43	hist
inch	Inch / Inches	56	56	43	0.77	YYYYYYYnYY	2026-10-18	0.77	hist
hail mary	Hail Mary	55	55	8	0.15	nYnnnnnnnn	2026-10-01	0.14	hist
record	Record	42	42	36	0.86	YYYYYYYnYY	2026-08-06	0.76	hist
overtime	Overtime	37	37	16	0.43	YYnnnYYnYn	2025-12-01	0.43	hist
pylon	Pylon	37	37	8	0.22	nnnYYnnnnn	2025-11-27	0.28	hist
concussion protocol	Concussion Protocol	36	36	2	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	2025-11-20	0.15	hist
face mask|facemask	Facemask / Face Mask	36	36	23	0.64	nnnYYYnYnY	2025-12-04	0.58	hist
fumble	Fumble / Fumbles	34	34	30	0.88	YYYnYYYYYY	2026-10-18	0.85	hist
intentional grounding	Intentional Grounding	31	31	7	0.23	YYnnnnYnnn	2025-11-30	0.3	hist
speed	Speed	29	29	28	0.97	YnYYYYYYYY	2025-12-04	0.82	hist
stuffed	Stuffed	28	28	9	0.32	nnnYnYnnnn	2025-11-28	0.36	hist
veteran	Veteran	27	27	21	0.78	nYnYYYYYYY	2026-02-03	0.68	hist
fumble|fumbled	Fumble / Fumbles / Fumbled	24	24	21	0.88	nYYYYYYYYY	2025-12-04	0.74	hist
tie|tied	Tie / Ties / Tied	22	22	21	0.95	YYYYYYYYYY	2025-12-04	0.79	hist
referee#5	Referee 5+ times	21	21	1	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	2026-09-09	0.1	hist
offside	Offside / Offsides	21	20	14	0.7	YnYnYYnYYY	2026-10-15	0.62	hist
picked	Picked	19	19	19	1	YYYYYYYYYY	2025-12-04	0.8	hist
concussion	Concussion	18	18	8	0.44	YYnnYYnYnY	2026-02-08	0.46	hist
miracle	Miracle	18	18	1	0.06	nnnnYnnnnn	2025-10-26	0.24	hist
missed|no good	No Good / Missed	17	17	17	1	YYYYYYYYYY	2025-12-22	0.8	hist
mvp	MVP	15	15	13	0.87	YYYYYYYYYY	2026-02-08	0.72	hist
ejected|ejection	Ejected / Ejection	13	13	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn		0.24	hist
pick six	Pick Six	13	13	3	0.23	nnnnnYnnnY	2026-02-03	0.37	hist
tom brady	Tom Brady	13	13	6	0.46	YYYYnnnnYY	2026-02-08	0.48	hist
down to the wire	Down to the wire	10	10	1	0.1	nYnnnnnnnn	2025-10-02	0.32	hist
mahome	Mahomes	10	10	5	0.5	nYYYnnnnYY	2026-08-06	0.53	hist
onside kick	Onside Kick	10	10	2	0.2	nnnYnnnnYn	2025-10-12	0.38	hist
tie	Tie	10	10	8	0.8	YYYnYYnYYY	2025-10-27	0.61	hist
jerry jone	Jerry Jones	8	8	7	0.88	YYYYYYYn	2025-12-21	0.63	hist
robert kraft	Robert Kraft	8	8	6	0.75	nYYnYYYY	2026-02-08	0.6	hist
taunting	Taunting	8	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn		0.33	hist
cheese head|cheesehead	Cheesehead / Cheese Head	7	7	1	0.14	Ynnnnnn	2025-10-26	0.35	hist
southern california	Southern California	7	7	5	0.71	YnYYYYn	2025-12-14	0.56	hist
super bowl	Super Bowl	7	7	6	0.86	YYnYYYY	2026-08-06	0.65	hist
fumble#3	Fumble 3+ times	6	6	5	0.83	YYYYnY	2025-10-13	0.57	hist
golden gate	Golden Gate	6	6	0	0	nnnnnn		0.31	hist
hollywood	Hollywood	6	6	2	0.33	nYYnnn	2025-11-23	0.43	hist
clock	Clock	5	5	5	1	YYYYY	2025-12-08	0.64	hist
come back|comeback	Comeback / Come Back	5	5	5	1	YYYYY	2026-02-08	0.66	hist
doink|doinked	Doink / Doinked	5	5	0	0	nnnnn		0.36	hist
flag|penalty#30	Penalty / Flag 30+ times	5	5	3	0.6	YYnnY	2025-10-13	0.5	hist
franchise record	Franchise Record	5	5	0	0	nnnnn		0.34	hist
knee#5	Knee 5+ times	5	5	3	0.6	YnYnY	2025-10-13	0.5	hist
pick six|picked	Pick Six / Picked	5	5	5	1	YYYYY	2025-10-05	0.61	hist
punt#15	Punt 15+ times	5	5	0	0	nnnnn		0.35	hist
trump	Trump	5	5	0	0	nnnnn		0.37	hist
turkey	Turkey	5	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	2025-11-27	0.46	hist
altitude	Altitude	4	4	3	0.75	YYYn	2026-01-17	0.54	hist
comeback	Comeback	4	4	4	1	YYYY	2026-02-08	0.59	hist
empower	Empower	4	4	3	0.75	YYnY	2026-01-25	0.56	hist
facemask	Facemask	4	4	3	0.75	YYYn	2025-10-05	0.53	hist
juggle	Juggle	4	4	0	0	nnnn		0.37	hist
mile high	Mile High	4	4	4	1	YYYY	2026-01-25	0.62	hist
soldier	Soldier	4	4	4	1	YYYY	2026-01-18	0.62	hist
taylor swift	Taylor Swift	4	4	1	0.25	nnnY	2025-10-12	0.44	hist
turnover on down	Turnover on downs	4	4	0	0	nnnn		0.37	hist
acrisure	Acrisure	3	3	3	1	YYY	2026-01-12	0.6	hist
bank of america	Bank of America	3	3	2	0.67	YYn	2025-12-28	0.52	hist
bitcoin|crypto	Bitcoin / Crypto	3	3	0	0	nnn		0.39	hist
challenge	Challenge	3	3	3	1	YYY	2025-10-13	0.56	hist
cheesesteak	Cheesesteak	3	3	1	0.33	Ynn	2025-10-09	0.45	hist
draft	Draft	3	3	2	0.67	nYY	2026-01-10	0.53	hist
dynasty	Dynasty	3	3	0	0	nnn		0.37	hist
first down#30	First down 30+ times	3	3	3	1	YYY	2025-10-13	0.56	hist
gillette	Gillette	3	3	2	0.67	nYY	2026-01-18	0.53	hist
gronk|gronkowski	Gronk / Gronkowski	3	3	1	0.33	Ynn	2025-11-13	0.44	hist
highmark	Highmark	3	3	3	1	YYY	2026-01-04	0.59	hist
honor	Honor	3	3	1	0.33	Ynn	2026-01-25	0.45	hist
jump ball	Jump Ball	3	3	2	0.67	nYY	2026-09-10	0.6	hist
levi	Levi's	3	3	2	0.67	YnY	2026-02-08	0.53	hist
lombardi	Lombardi	3	3	1	0.33	nYn	2026-01-25	0.45	hist
lumen	Lumen	3	3	3	1	YYY	2026-01-25	0.6	hist
marshawn lynch	Marshawn Lynch	3	3	0	0	nnn		0.38	hist
motor city	Motor City	3	3	1	0.33	nnY	2025-12-21	0.46	hist
rashee rice	Rashee Rice	3	3	1	0.33	nnY	2025-10-12	0.46	hist
rival|rivalry	Rival / Rivalry	3	3	3	1	YYY	2026-01-17	0.59	hist
rookie#3	Rookie 3+ times	3	3	3	1	YYY	2025-10-13	0.56	hist
sack#3	Sack 3+ times	3	3	3	1	YYY	2025-10-13	0.56	hist
sack|sacked	Sack / Sacked	3	3	3	1	YYY	2026-04-24	0.59	hist
safety#4	Safety 4+ times	3	3	3	1	YYY	2025-10-13	0.56	hist
scoop and score	Scoop and score	3	3	0	0	nnn		0.39	hist
showgirl	Showgirl	3	3	1	0.33	nYn	2025-10-12	0.46	hist