# MrBeast (mrbeast) · podcast_episode by 2025-09-13 (settled) · 12 words · P p:will-mrbeast-say-youtube-during-next-video · as_of 2026-10-27T16:36:16Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-09-13 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:will-mrbeast-say-youtube-during-next-video (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if MrBeast says the listed term during the next YouTube video he posts after this market's creation.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Subscribe	subscribe	1	4	2	0.5	nnYY	0.49	hist	yes
Prize	prize	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.44	hist	yes
Insane	insane	1	4	2	0.5	nnYY	0.29	hist	no
Explore	explore	1	0	0			0.29	hist	no
Feastables 3+ times	feastable#3	3	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.38	prior	yes
Bathroom / Toilet	bathroom|toilet	1	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Challenge 3+ times	challenge#3	3	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Dollar 15+ times	dollar#15	15	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Million / Billion 10+ times	billion|million#10	10	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Money 3+ times	money#3	3	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Oh my gosh	oh my gosh	1	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Secret	secret	1	0	0			0.38	prior	no