# JD Vance (jd-vance) · podcast_episode 2024-10-30 · 25 words · P p:what-will-vance-say-during-rogan-podcast · as_of 2026-10-27T18:11:59Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-30 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-vance-say-during-rogan-podcast (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market group over what JD Vance will say during his podcast with Joe Rogan, scheduled to occur October 30, 2024, at 9 AM.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Abortion	abortion	1	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	yes
FEMA	fema	1	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	no
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.41	hist	no
Mamaw	mamaw	1	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.33	hist	no
China 5+ times	china#5	5	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	no
Usha	usha	1	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
Fake News	fake new	1	2	0	0	nn	0.27	hist	no
Tampon	tampon	1	4	0	0	nnnn	0.21	hist	no
Alien	alien	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Childless Cat Lady	childless cat lady	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
CIA	cia	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Dana	dana	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Epstein	epstein	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Hitler	hitler	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
JFK	jfk	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Kamala 30+ times	kamala#30	30	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Puerto Rico/Puerto Rican	puerto rican|puerto rico	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Russia 5+ times	russia#5	5	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Thiel	thiel	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Trump 50+ times	trump#50	50	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Vaccine	vaccine	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Weed	weed	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes