# JD Vance (jd-vance) · rally 2024-10-08 · 20 words · P p:what-will-vance-say-during-detroit-rally · as_of 2026-10-26T13:43:28Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-08 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-vance-say-during-detroit-rally (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Vance during his rally in Detroit, Michigan.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Inflation	inflation	1	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	yes
Fired	fired	1	0	0			0.46	hist	yes
Poison	poison	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.4	hist	no
Haitian	haitian	1	1	0	0	n	0.28	hist	no
Helene	helene	1	1	0	0	n	0.28	hist	no
Hillbilly	hillbilly	1	1	0	0	n	0.28	hist	no
Trans	tran	1	1	0	0	n	0.28	hist	no
Mamaw	mamaw	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.2	hist	yes
Tampon	tampon	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.2	hist	no
Aurora	aurora	1	0	0			0.34	prior	no
Border 10+ times	border#10	10	0	0			0.34	prior	yes
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	0	0			0.34	prior	no
FEMA	fema	1	0	0			0.34	prior	yes
Fentanyl 3+ times	fentanyl#3	3	0	0			0.34	prior	no
Kamala 20+ times	kamala#20	20	0	0			0.34	prior	yes
Salt/SALT	salt	1	0	0			0.34	prior	no
Second Chance	second chance	1	0	0			0.34	prior	yes
Springfield 3+ times	springfield#3	3	0	0			0.34	prior	no
Trump 15+ times	trump#15	15	0	0			0.34	prior	yes
Walz	walz	1	0	0			0.34	prior	no