# Tucker Carlson (tucker-carlson) · speech 2025-12-18 · 20 words · P p:what-will-tucker-carlson-say-at-americafest-on-december-18 · as_of 2026-10-27T09:54:12Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-12-18 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-tucker-carlson-say-at-americafest-on-december-18 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson says the listed term during the scheduled event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
America First	america first	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
Border / Immigration 5+ times	border|immigration#5	5	0	0			0.33	prior	no
Censor / Censorship	censor|censorship	1	0	0			0.33	prior	no
Christian	christian	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
Credit / Buy Now Pay Later	buy now pay later|credit	1	0	0			0.33	prior	no
Democrat / Democratic 5+ times	democrat|democratic#5	5	0	0			0.33	prior	no
Drug	drug	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
Economy	economy	1	0	0			0.33	prior	no
Foreign Policy	foreign policy	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
Free Speech	free speech	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
House / Housing	house|housing	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
Israel	israel	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
JD / Vance	jd|vance	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
Loan / Debt	debt|loan	1	0	0			0.33	prior	no
Racist / Racism	racism|racist	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
Regime Change	regime change	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
Ted Cruz	ted cruz	1	0	0			0.33	prior	no
Trump 10+ times	trump#10	10	0	0			0.33	prior	yes
War 5+ times	war#5	5	0	0			0.33	prior	yes