# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-10-05 (settled) · 13 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-september-29-october-5 · as_of 2026-10-27T06:11:05Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-10-05 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-september-29-october-5 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 29, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and October 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Transgender	transgender	24	12	0.5	YYYYnYnnYn	0.63	hist	0	0	yes	1
Congo	congo	4	4	1	YYYY	0.58	hist	0	0	yes	1
World Cup	world cup	2	2	1	YY	0.57	hist	0	0	yes	1
Cookie	cookie	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	0	0	yes	1
Tylenol	tylenol	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	0	0	yes	1
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	9	3	0.33	nnnnYnnYY	0.5	hist	0	0	yes	1
Escalator / Teleprompter	escalator|teleprompter	0	0			0.5	hist	0	0	yes	1
Death penalty	death penalty	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.46	hist	0	0	no	1
Department of War / Secretary of War	department of war|secretary of war	0	0			0.46	hist	0	0	yes	1
Peanut	peanut	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.27	hist	0	0	no	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	129	6	0.05	nnnnnnnnnY	0.16	hist	0	0	yes	1
Anarchist	anarchist	0	0			0.5	prior	0	0	no	1
Omar / Crockett	crockett|omar	0	0			0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1