# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-11-02 (settled) · 13 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-october-27-november-2 · as_of 2026-10-27T10:00:12Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-11-02 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-october-27-november-2 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 27, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and November 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	25	18	0.72	YYnYYYYYnn	0.7	hist	0	0	no	1
Transgender	transgender	34	16	0.47	YYnnnYnnYn	0.66	hist	0	0	yes	1
Brazil	brazil	2	2	1	YY	0.62	hist	0	0	no	1
Big beautiful bill	big beautiful bill	20	12	0.6	YYnYnYnYnY	0.57	hist	0	0	yes	1
Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating	obliterated|obliterating|obliteration	0	0			0.48	hist	0	0	yes	1
Trilat / Trilateral	trilat|trilateral	0	0			0.48	hist	0	0	no	1
Maduro	maduro	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.47	hist	0	0	no	1
TikTok	tiktok	30	7	0.23	nnYnnnnnnn	0.32	hist	0	0	no	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	160	12	0.07	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.27	hist	0	0	yes	1
Chairman Kim	chairman kim	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Dark cloud	dark cloud	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Happy Halloween	happy halloween	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Sushi	sushi	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	no	1