# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-10-26 (settled) · 13 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-october-20-october-26 · as_of 2026-10-27T19:55:04Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-10-26 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-october-20-october-26 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 20, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and October 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Transgender	transgender	33	15	0.45	nYYnnnYnnn	0.66	hist	0	0	yes	1
Dog	dog	6	2	0.33	YnYnnn	0.46	hist	0	0	no	1
ABC Fake News	abc fake new	0	0			0.46	hist	0	0	no	1
Shifty Schiff	shifty schiff	2	0	0	nn	0.45	hist	0	0	no	1
Peanut	peanut	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	0.26	hist	0	0	no	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	148	9	0.06	nnnnnnnnnY	0.2	hist	0	0	yes	1
Black woman	black woman	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Darth Vader	darth vader	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Low IQ person	low iq person	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Schumer Shutdown	schumer shutdown	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Scum	scum	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Spain	spain	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Speedboat	speedboat	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	no	1