# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-11-30 (settled) · 16 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-november-24-30 · as_of 2026-10-26T11:00:51Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-11-30 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-november-24-30 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between November 24, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Transgender	transgender	40	19	0.47	nnYnYYnnYn	0.66	hist	0	0	no	1
Through the roof	through the roof	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.59	hist	0	0	no	1
Ass	ass	4	2	0.5	nnYY	0.56	hist	0	0	no	1
Pardon	pardon	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.51	hist	0	0	yes	1
Cartel	cartel	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.49	hist	0	0	no	1
Autopen	autopen	24	10	0.42	nnnnnnnYnY	0.47	hist	0	0	yes	1
Larry / Bird	bird|larry	1	0	0	n	0.46	hist	0	0	yes	1
South Africa	south africa	1	0	0	n	0.46	hist	0	0	no	1
Maduro	maduro	12	4	0.33	nnnYnnYYnn	0.43	hist	0	0	no	1
Pocahontas	pocahonta	19	12	0.63	YYYYnYnnnn	0.42	hist	0	0	no	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	194	18	0.09	nnnnnnnnnn	0.32	hist	0	0	no	1
Cave / Pipe	cave|pipe	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Easter	easter	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Epstein Files	epstein file	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Marjorie Traitor Greene	marjorie traitor greene	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Nick / Fuentes	fuente|nick	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1