# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-11-16 (settled) · 14 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-november-10-16 · as_of 2026-10-27T09:05:28Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-11-16 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-november-10-16 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between November 10, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and November 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Transgender	transgender	36	18	0.5	nnnYnnYnYY	0.7	hist	0	0	no	1
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	27	19	0.7	nYYYYYnnnY	0.67	hist	0	0	yes	1
G20	g20	2	2	1	YY	0.55	hist	0	0	no	1
Princess	princess	0	0			0.55	hist	0	0	no	1
Secretary of War	secretary of war	0	0			0.55	hist	0	0	yes	1
F-35	f 35	2	1	0.5	nY	0.54	hist	0	0	no	1
Shit / Ass	ass|shit	0	0			0.54	hist	0	0	yes	1
Brazil	brazil	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.52	hist	0	0	no	1
Claudia / Sheinbaum	claudia|sheinbaum	1	0	0	n	0.5	hist	0	0	no	1
Hoax	hoax	7	2	0.29	YnnYnnn	0.48	hist	0	0	yes	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	182	18	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	0.36	hist	0	0	no	1
Maduro	maduro	8	2	0.25	nYnnnYnn	0.35	hist	0	0	yes	1
Climate Change	climate change	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Kamikaze	kamikaze	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	no	1