# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2026-05-17 (settled) · 23 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-may-17 · as_of 2026-10-26T06:50:03Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-05-17 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-may-17 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:29Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	78	58	0.74	nYYYYnYnYn	1	1	0.81	hist	0	0	yes	1
Make America Great Again	make america great again	11	8	0.73	nnYYYYYYYY	1	1	0.78	hist	0	0	no	1
Transgender	transgender	119	66	0.55	nYYnYnnnnY	1	1	0.7	hist	0	0	yes	1
Secret Service	secret service	9	7	0.78	YnYYYYnYY	1	1	0.55	hist	0	0	yes	1
Magnet	magnet	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.55	hist	0	0	no	1
Uncle / Unc	unc|uncle	0	0			1	0	0.55	hist	0	0	no	1
Six Seven	six seven	22	8	0.36	nnYYYYYnnn	1	0	0.53	hist	0	0	yes	1
Eight War / Eighth War	eight war|eighth war	11	6	0.55	YYYYnnnYnn	1	1	0.52	hist	0	0	yes	1
Shipbuilding	shipbuilding	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.51	hist	0	0	no	1
Regime change	regime change	5	2	0.4	nnnYY	1	0	0.51	hist	0	0	yes	1
Asylum	asylum	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.5	hist	0	0	yes	1
Wind	wind	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.5	hist	0	0	yes	1
Blackwell	blackwell	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.49	hist	0	0	no	1
NVIDIA	nvidia	10	4	0.4	nnYYnnYYnn	1	1	0.48	hist	0	0	yes	1
North Korea	north korea	2	0	0	nn	1	1	0.48	hist	0	0	yes	1
Traitor	traitor	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.48	hist	0	0	no	1
Boeing	boeing	8	2	0.25	YnnnnYnn	1	0	0.47	hist	0	0	yes	1
Hantavirus	hantavirus	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.45	hist	0	0	no	1
Midterm Election	midterm election	4	0	0	nnnn	1	0	0.38	hist	0	0	no	1
Rare earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	35	11	0.31	nnnnnnnnnn	1	1	0.37	hist	0	0	no	1
Cuba	cuba	19	6	0.32	YnnnYnnYnn	1	0	0.36	hist	0	0	yes	1
Chair	chair	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Silicon Valley	silicon valley	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1