# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2026-03-08 (settled) · 27 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-8 · as_of 2026-10-26T02:30:31Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-03-08 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-8 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:29Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Make America Great Again / MAGA	maga|make america great again	44	31	0.7	nnYYYYYnnY	1	1	0.7	hist	0	0	no	1
Transgender	transgender	74	40	0.54	YnYYnnYYYn	1	1	0.66	hist	0	0	no	1
Autopen	autopen	30	15	0.5	nYnYYYYYnY	1	0	0.6	hist	0	0	yes	1
Nasty	nasty	4	3	0.75	YnYY	1	1	0.59	hist	0	0	yes	1
Witch hunt	witch hunt	3	2	0.67	nYY	1	0	0.56	hist	0	0	no	1
IQ	iq	21	12	0.57	YYYYnYYYnn	1	1	0.56	hist	0	0	no	1
Golf / Golfer	golf|golfer	4	2	0.5	nYYn	1	1	0.56	hist	0	0	yes	1
Save Act / Save America Act	save act|save america act	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.55	hist	0	0	no	1
Toyota	toyota	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.5	hist	0	0	no	1
BRICS	bric	4	1	0.25	nnYn	1	0	0.49	hist	0	0	no	1
G20	g20	3	2	0.67	YYn	1	0	0.48	hist	0	0	no	1
Jesus	jesus	6	2	0.33	nnYnYn	1	0	0.48	hist	0	0	yes	1
Kamala / Harris	harris|kamala	3	1	0.33	nYn	1	1	0.47	hist	0	0	yes	1
Nazi	nazi	4	1	0.25	nnYn	1	0	0.45	hist	0	0	yes	1
Ice Cream	ice cream	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.45	hist	0	0	no	1
Ayatollah / Khamenei	ayatollah|khamenei	6	0	0	nnnnnn	1	0	0.44	hist	0	0	no	1
Maduro	maduro	51	20	0.39	YnnYYnYYYn	1	1	0.43	hist	0	0	yes	1
El Salvador	el salvador	5	1	0.2	nnYnn	1	0	0.42	hist	0	0	yes	1
Shutdown / Shut down	shut down|shutdown	69	22	0.32	nnnnnnnnnY	1	1	0.33	hist	0	0	yes	1
Peanut	peanut	12	1	0.08	nnnnnnYnnn	1	0	0.31	hist	0	0	no	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	294	28	0.1	nnnnnnnYnn	1	0	0.24	hist	0	0	yes	1
Black Plastic	black plastic	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Camp	camp	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Hang / Hanging	hang|hanging	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
India and Pakistan / India Pakistan	india and pakistan|india pakistan	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Insider	insider	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Tough Negotiator	tough negotiator	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1