# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-08-03 (settled) · 8 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-july-28-august-3 · as_of 2026-10-26T09:19:16Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-08-03 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-july-28-august-3 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 28, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and August 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Transgender	transgender	11	5	0.45	YYnYnYnnnn	0.51	hist	0	0	yes	1
Hillary	hillary	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	0	0	yes	1
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	8	2	0.25	nnYnnnnY	0.46	hist	0	0	no	1
Peanut	peanut	2	0	0	nn	0.39	hist	0	0	no	1
Beautiful clean coal	beautiful clean coal	0	0			0.48	prior	0	0	no	1
Biden's war	biden's war	0	0			0.48	prior	0	0	yes	1
Brazil	brazil	0	0			0.48	prior	0	0	yes	1
Maxwell	maxwell	0	0			0.48	prior	0	0	no	1