# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2026-01-25 (settled) · 20 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-january-25 · as_of 2026-10-26T05:50:24Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-01-25 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-january-25 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage 1 of 1 known appearance transcribed (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:29Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	agree
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	38	27	0.71	YYYnYYnnYY	1	1	0.68	hist	1	1	yes	1
Transgender	transgender	56	26	0.46	nnnnnYYYnn	1	1	0.62	hist	3	3	yes	1
Nasty	nasty	3	2	0.67	YnY	1	1	0.54	hist	2	2	yes	1
Portugal / Portuguese	portugal|portuguese	0	0			1	0	0.54	hist	0	0	no	1
Insane Asylum	insane asylum	7	3	0.43	YnnYnnY	1	1	0.53	hist	3	3	yes	1
Television	television	0	0			1	1	0.53	hist	1	1	yes	1
Boom / Booming	boom|booming	2	1	0.5	nY	1	1	0.52	hist	3	3	yes	1
Sucker	sucker	2	1	0.5	nY	1	1	0.51	hist	2	2	yes	1
Covid / Pandemic	covid|pandemic	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.51	hist	0	0	yes	0
Genius	genius	7	4	0.57	YYYnYnn	1	1	0.5	hist	2	2	yes	1
Too Big To Rig	too big to rig	4	2	0.5	YnYn	1	0	0.49	hist	0	0	no	1
Radical Left Lunatic	radical left lunatic	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.48	hist	0	0	yes	0
Liberation Day	liberation day	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.46	hist	0	0	no	1
Biden's War	biden's war	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	1	1	0.46	hist	1	1	yes	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	242	22	0.09	nnnnnYYnnn	1	0	0.26	hist	0	0	yes	0
Nobel	nobel	21	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	1	1	0.22	hist	8	10	yes	1
Detroit Economic Club	detroit economic club	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Great Shape	great shape	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	0
Soleimani	soleimani	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	1	1	yes	1
Venezuela On Steroids	venezuela on steroid	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	0