# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2026-02-15 (settled) · 19 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-february-15 · as_of 2026-10-27T16:35:03Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-02-15 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-february-15 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between February 9, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and February 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:29Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	44	31	0.7	YYnYYYYYYY	1	1	0.77	hist	0	0	yes	1
Transgender	transgender	63	33	0.52	YYnYYnYYYY	1	1	0.67	hist	0	0	no	1
Rigged Election	rigged election	0	0			1	1	0.66	hist	0	0	no	1
Football	football	7	5	0.71	YYYnnYY	1	1	0.61	hist	0	0	no	1
Great Shape	great shape	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.6	hist	0	0	no	1
Six Seven	six seven	3	2	0.67	nYY	1	0	0.56	hist	0	0	no	1
Olympics	olympic	25	13	0.52	nYYnYYnYnY	1	0	0.54	hist	0	0	no	1
XRP	xrp	0	0			1	0	0.51	hist	0	0	no	1
Dictator	dictator	7	2	0.29	nnnYnYn	1	1	0.5	hist	0	0	yes	1
Tough Cookie	tough cookie	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.48	hist	0	0	no	1
Make America Great Again	make america great again	3	0	0	nnn	1	1	0.46	hist	0	0	yes	1
Cocaine	cocaine	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.43	hist	0	0	no	1
Golden Dome	golden dome	14	4	0.29	nnnnYnnnnn	1	0	0.41	hist	0	0	no	1
Midterm Election	midterm election	3	0	0	nnn	1	0	0.37	hist	0	0	no	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	271	26	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.31	hist	0	0	no	1
Discombobulating / Discombobulated	discombobulated|discombobulating	0	0			1	0	0.52	prior	0	0	no	1
Flamethrower	flamethrower	0	0			1	0	0.52	prior	0	0	no	1
Philadelphia / Baltimore	baltimore|philadelphia	0	0			1	0	0.52	prior	0	0	no	1
Shelton	shelton	0	0			1	0	0.52	prior	0	0	no	1