# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-12-21 (settled) · 20 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-december-15-21 · as_of 2026-10-27T22:13:05Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-12-21 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-december-15-21 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	33	24	0.73	nnnYYYYYnY	0.74	hist	0	0	yes	1
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	32	20	0.62	YYYYnnYYnY	0.72	hist	0	0	yes	1
Transgender	transgender	45	22	0.49	YnnYnnYYYn	0.66	hist	0	0	yes	1
Hanukkah	hanukkah	7	3	0.43	YYYnnnn	0.66	hist	0	0	yes	1
Mental institution	mental institution	5	4	0.8	YnYYY	0.58	hist	0	0	yes	1
Teleprompter	teleprompter	2	1	0.5	nY	0.57	hist	0	0	no	1
Congo	congo	6	5	0.83	YYYYYn	0.56	hist	0	0	yes	1
Ambassador	ambassador	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	0	0	yes	1
Baby	baby	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.52	hist	0	0	yes	1
Ass / Shit	ass|shit	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.51	hist	0	0	yes	1
Traitor / Taylor	taylor|traitor	0	0			0.51	hist	0	0	yes	1
Ivanka	ivanka	2	0	0	nn	0.5	hist	0	0	no	1
Hostage	hostage	6	2	0.33	nnnYYn	0.49	hist	0	0	yes	1
Light/Electricity	electricity|light	0	0			0.49	hist	0	0	yes	1
Gold Card	gold card	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.47	hist	0	0	yes	1
Easter	easter	1	0	0	n	0.43	hist	0	0	no	1
Maduro	maduro	29	6	0.21	nnYnnnnnnn	0.32	hist	0	0	no	1
Crap	crap	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Fool	fool	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Stupid people	stupid people	0	0			0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1