# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-12-07 (settled) · 17 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-december-1-7 · as_of 2026-10-26T19:50:04Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-12-07 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-december-1-7 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	26	15	0.58	YYYYYYYYnn	0.72	hist	0	0	yes	1
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	29	21	0.72	YYYYnnnYYY	0.7	hist	0	0	yes	1
Transgender	transgender	42	20	0.48	YnYYnnYnnY	0.61	hist	0	0	yes	1
Cookie	cookie	2	2	1	YY	0.6	hist	0	0	yes	1
Moscow	moscow	5	3	0.6	nYYnY	0.55	hist	0	0	no	1
Fat / Slob	fat|slob	0	0			0.53	hist	0	0	yes	1
Tren de Aragua	tren de aragua	9	6	0.67	nYYYYYnYn	0.51	hist	0	0	no	1
Hijab / Omar	hijab|omar	0	0			0.5	hist	0	0	yes	1
Retarded	retarded	0	0			0.49	hist	0	0	no	1
Shutdown	shutdown	1	0	0	n	0.47	hist	0	0	no	1
Grossly incompetent	grossly incompetent	0	0			0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1
Hanukkah	hanukkah	0	0			0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1
Hellhole / Third World	hellhole|third world	0	0			0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1
Insurance	insurance	0	0			0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1
Murderer	murderer	0	0			0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1
Potato	potato	0	0			0.5	prior	0	0	no	1
Star	star	0	0			0.5	prior	0	0	yes	1