# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-08-10 (settled) · 8 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-august-4-10 · as_of 2026-10-25T13:56:15Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-08-10 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-august-4-10 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 4, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and August 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	17	13	0.76	YYnYYYnnYY	0.72	hist	0	0	no	1
Nuclear weapon	nuclear weapon	2	2	1	YY	0.55	hist	0	0	yes	1
BRICS	bric	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.53	hist	0	0	no	1
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	44	12	0.27	nnnnYnYnYn	0.43	hist	0	0	yes	1
Peanut	peanut	3	0	0	nnn	0.33	hist	0	0	no	1
Hulk / Hulkster	hulk|hulkster	0	0			0.48	prior	0	0	no	1
Kosovo	kosovo	0	0			0.48	prior	0	0	yes	1
Stupid person	stupid person	0	0			0.48	prior	0	0	no	1