# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-08-17 (settled) · 8 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-august-11-17 · as_of 2026-10-26T09:44:48Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-08-17 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-august-11-17 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 11, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and August 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Communist	communist	2	1	0.5	nY	0.55	hist	0	0	yes	1
Satellite	satellite	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	0	0	no	1
Transgender	transgender	14	6	0.43	YnYnnnYnnn	0.51	hist	0	0	yes	1
Boom / Booming	boom|booming	0	0			0.38	hist	0	0	no	1
Peanut	peanut	4	0	0	nnnn	0.28	hist	0	0	no	1
Cookie	cookie	0	0			0.47	prior	0	0	yes	1
Horrible thing	horrible thing	0	0			0.47	prior	0	0	yes	1
Through the roof	through the roof	0	0			0.47	prior	0	0	yes	1