# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-06-27 (settled) · 6 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-514 · as_of 2026-10-26T19:00:16Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-06-27 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-514 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between June 23, 12:00 PM ET and June 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	11	9	0.82	nYYYYYYYnY	0.77	hist	0	0	yes	1
Elon	elon	24	15	0.62	YnnYYYnnnn	0.49	hist	0	0	no	1
Big beautiful deal	big beautiful deal	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.41	hist	0	0	no	1
TikTok	tiktok	10	3	0.3	YnYYnnnnnn	0.4	hist	0	0	no	1
Ass	ass	2	0	0	nn	0.34	hist	0	0	yes	1
Flagpole	flagpole	0	0			0.47	prior	0	0	no	1
