# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-05-16 (settled) · 14 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-486 · as_of 2026-10-26T16:51:51Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-05-16 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-486 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 10, 12:00 PM ET and May 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	6	5	0.83	YnYYYY	0.7	hist	0	0	yes	1
Transgender	transgender	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.64	hist	0	0	yes	1
Beach	beach	6	3	0.5	nYYnYn	0.44	hist	0	0	no	1
Pardon / Pardoned	pardon|pardoned	0	0			0.44	hist	0	0	no	1
Trump card / Gold card	gold card|trump card	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	0	0	no	1
Netanyahu / Bibi	bibi|netanyahu	2	0	0	nn	0.46	prior	0	0	yes	1
Abraham	abraham	0	0			0.46	prior	0	0	yes	1
Boeing	boeing	0	0			0.46	prior	0	0	yes	1
Crown	crown	0	0			0.46	prior	0	0	yes	1
Dome / Shield	dome|shield	0	0			0.46	prior	0	0	yes	1
Persian	persian	0	0			0.46	prior	0	0	no	1
Roosevelt	roosevelt	0	0			0.46	prior	0	0	yes	1
Slavery	slavery	0	0			0.46	prior	0	0	no	1
Tower	tower	0	0			0.46	prior	0	0	yes	1