# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-04-11 (settled) · 13 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-321 · as_of 2026-10-26T11:17:54Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-04-11 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-321 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 7, 7:00 PM ET and April 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Hezbollah	hezbollah	2	1	0.5	nY	0.44	hist	0	0	no	1
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	26	7	0.27	nnnYnnnYYn	0.41	hist	0	0	yes	1
Drone	drone	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.4	hist	0	0	no	1
Qatar	qatar	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	0	0	no	1
Dictionary	dictionary	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	0	0	no	1
Demolition	demolition	0	0			0.44	prior	0	0	no	1
Kim Jong Un	kim jong un	0	0			0.44	prior	0	0	no	1
Lumber	lumber	0	0			0.44	prior	0	0	yes	1
Lunatic	lunatic	0	0			0.44	prior	0	0	yes	1
Peace through strength	peace through strength	0	0			0.44	prior	0	0	yes	1
Renaissance	renaissance	0	0			0.44	prior	0	0	no	1
Stone cold	stone cold	0	0			0.44	prior	0	0	no	1
Trump card	trump card	0	0			0.44	prior	0	0	no	1
