# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-06-06 (settled) · 7 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-313 · as_of 2026-10-26T22:50:03Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-06-06 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-313 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 31, 12:00 AM ET and June 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	8	7	0.88	YnYYYYYY	0.76	hist	0	0	yes	1
Biden	biden	25	20	0.8	nYYYYYYYYY	0.69	hist	0	0	yes	1
Apple	apple	6	4	0.67	nYYnYY	0.6	hist	0	0	yes	1
Trans / Transgender	tran|transgender	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.5	hist	0	0	yes	1
Marco / Rubio	marco|rubio	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.48	hist	0	0	no	1
Big Beautiful Deal	big beautiful deal	2	0	0	nn	0.36	hist	0	0	no	1
Chicken / Chickened	chicken|chickened	0	0			0.48	prior	0	0	no	1