# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-05-30 (settled) · 7 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-236 · as_of 2026-10-25T18:48:38Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-05-30 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-236 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Biden	biden	21	16	0.76	nYYYnYYYYY	0.61	hist	0	0	yes	1
Apple	apple	5	3	0.6	nYYnY	0.52	hist	0	0	yes	1
Big beautiful deal	big beautiful deal	1	0	0	n	0.43	hist	0	0	no	1
Harvard	harvard	1	0	0	n	0.43	hist	0	0	yes	1
Trump Derangement Syndrome	trump derangement syndrome	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	0	0	no	1
Bitcoin / Crypto	bitcoin|crypto	94	5	0.05	nnnYnnnnYn	0.32	hist	0	0	no	1
World Cup	world cup	0	0			0.47	prior	0	0	yes	1