# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-04-25 (settled) · 8 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-234 · as_of 2026-10-25T14:45:04Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-04-25 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v P, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-234 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 19, 00:00 AM ET and April 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Transgender	transgender	1	1	1	Y	0.52	0	0	yes	1
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.52	0	0	yes	1
Third Term	third term	1	1	1	Y	0.47	0	0	no	1
Denmark	denmark	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.42	0	0	no	1
Fentanyl	fentanyl	5	1	0.2	nnYnn	0.36	0	0	yes	1
Gold Card	gold card	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.35	0	0	no	1
Peanut	peanut	1	0	0	n	0.34	0	0	no	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	82	2	0.02	nnnnnnnnnn	0.11	0	0	yes	1