# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-07-11 (settled) · 7 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-198 · as_of 2026-10-25T12:02:37Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-07-11 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v P, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-198 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 5, 12:00 AM ET and July 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	14	11	0.79	YYYYYnYYYn	0.77	0	0	no	1
Apple	apple	7	5	0.71	nYYnYYY	0.62	0	0	yes	1
Genius	genius	3	3	1	YYY	0.59	0	0	no	1
Genocide	genocide	2	2	1	YY	0.57	0	0	no	1
Communist	communist	1	0	0	n	0.46	0	0	yes	1
Elon	elon	25	15	0.6	nnYYYnnnnn	0.39	0	0	no	1
Fuck	fuck	1	0	0	n	0.38	0	0	no	1
