# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-03-28 (settled) · 9 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week · as_of 2026-10-26T14:07:26Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-03-28 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 21, 6:10 PM ET and March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
tariff	tariff	7	7	1	YYYYYYY	0.6	hist	0	0	yes	1
trans	tran	41	28	0.68	YYnYnnnnnn	0.5	hist	0	0	yes	1
Obama	obama	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	0	0	yes	1
Kamala	kamala	6	2	0.33	nnYnnY	0.43	hist	0	0	yes	1
Clinton	clinton	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	0	0	yes	1
Zelenskyy	zelenskyy	6	2	0.33	YYnnnn	0.38	hist	0	0	yes	1
Epstein	epstein	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	0.29	hist	0	0	no	1
bigly	bigly	0	0			0.43	prior	0	0	no	1
the Blacks	the black	0	0			0.43	prior	0	0	no	1