# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · speech 2024-11-15 · 15 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-in-speech-after-election-is-called · as_of 2026-10-26T11:00:51Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-11-15 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-in-speech-after-election-is-called (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the content of Trump's speech following the announcement of election results.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Elon	elon	1	10	10	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.75	hist	yes
Rig/Rigged	rig|rigged	1	7	6	0.86	YYnYYYY	0.62	hist	no
MAGA	maga	1	9	8	0.89	YYYYYYnYY	0.61	hist	yes
God	god	1	2	2	1	YY	0.57	hist	no
Border	border	1	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.49	hist	yes
Mail-in	mail in	1	1	0	0	n	0.46	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	48	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07	hist	no
America 5+ times	america#5	5	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Illegal	illegal	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Kamala	kamala	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Pennsylvania	pennsylvania	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Steal/Stole	steal|stole	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Victory 3+ times	victory#3	3	0	0			0.49	prior	no
We Won	we won	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes