# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · speech by 2024-12-05 (settled) · 15 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-in-next-speech · as_of 2026-10-25T14:58:22Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-12-05 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-in-next-speech (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market group over what terms Donald Trump will use in his next speech, starting on November 18, 2024.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trans	tran	1	34	28	0.82	YYYYYYYYYY	0.72	hist	no
Elon	elon	1	11	11	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.69	hist	no
MAGA	maga	1	10	9	0.9	YYYYYYnYYY	0.65	hist	yes
IQ	iq	1	2	2	1	YY	0.54	hist	no
Venezuela	venezuela	1	2	2	1	YY	0.54	hist	yes
Iran	iran	1	5	3	0.6	YnnYY	0.51	hist	no
God	god	1	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.47	hist	no
Kamala	kamala	1	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	49	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.1	hist	no
Deport	deport	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Gaetz	gaetz	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Hell 3+ times	hell#3	3	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Monkey Pox	monkey pox	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Recess Appointment	recess appointment	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Tax 5+ times	tax#5	5	0	0			0.49	prior	no