# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-08-18 · 16 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-zelensky-events-on-august-18 · as_of 2026-10-27T22:34:07Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-08-18 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-zelensky-events-on-august-18 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at these events.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Nuclear	nuclear	1	25	16	0.64	nYYnYYnYnn	0.58	hist	yes
Pakistan	pakistan	1	6	4	0.67	nYYYYn	0.48	hist	yes
Hottest Country	hottest country	1	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	no
Biden 5+	biden#5	5	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.45	hist	no
Hell 3+ times	hell#3	3	16	8	0.5	YYnYnYnnnn	0.41	hist	no
Card	card	1	1	1	1	Y	0.4	hist	no
Ceasefire 3+	ceasefire#3	3	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.39	hist	yes
Marco / Rubio	marco|rubio	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.38	hist	no
Suit	suit	1	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Russia / Ukraine 15+	russia|ukraine#15	15	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
NATO	nato	1	17	5	0.29	nnnYnnYnnY	0.33	hist	yes
Crimea / Donetsk	crimea|donetsk	1	0	0			0.32	hist	no
Rare Earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	1	0	0			0.28	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	111	5	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07	hist	no
Putin 5+	putin#5	5	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Thousand / Million / Billion 12+	billion|million|thousand#12	12	0	0			0.39	prior	yes