# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · speech 2024-10-01 · 19 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-wisconsin-speech-oct-1 · as_of 2026-10-26T17:11:29Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-01 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-wisconsin-speech-oct-1 (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the content and themes of Trump's speech in Wisconsin.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Israel	israel	1	7	7	1	YYYYYYY	0.71	hist	yes
Million 10+ times	million#10	10	4	4	1	YYYY	0.7	hist	yes
Debate	debate	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.61	hist	no
Trans	tran	1	9	5	0.56	nYnYYYYnn	0.55	hist	yes
Border 30+ times	border#30	30	2	1	0.5	nY	0.54	hist	no
Tips	tip	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.5	hist	yes
World War 3	world war 3	1	5	2	0.4	YnnnY	0.48	hist	yes
Tampon	tampon	1	17	9	0.53	YYnnYnnnnn	0.44	hist	no
AI	ai	1	4	1	0.25	nYnn	0.43	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.41	hist	yes
Tax Queen	tax queen	1	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	yes
Zelensky	zelensky	1	2	0	0	nn	0.35	hist	yes
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	16	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.14	hist	no
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	0	0			0.49	prior	no
China 7+ times	china#7	7	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Disabled	disabled	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Helene	helene	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Mentally Impaired	mentally impaired	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Walz	walz	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no