# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · speech 2024-09-28 · 21 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-wisconsin-speech · as_of 2026-10-26T01:43:47Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-09-28 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-wisconsin-speech (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his speech scheduled for Prairie du Chien, Wisconsin, on September 28, 2024.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	5	4	0.8	YnYYY	0.68	hist	yes
Border 15+ times	border#15	15	11	8	0.73	YnYYYYYYYn	0.65	hist	yes
China 10+ times	china#10	10	2	2	1	YY	0.64	hist	no
Trans	tran	1	8	5	0.62	nYnYYYYn	0.64	hist	no
Putin 2+ times	putin#2	2	1	1	1	Y	0.6	hist	no
Tip 3+ times	tip#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.6	hist	no
Elon Musk	elon musk	1	5	3	0.6	YnnYY	0.55	hist	no
AI	ai	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.53	hist	no
Border 30+ times	border#30	30	1	0	0	n	0.47	hist	yes
Zelensky	zelensky	1	1	0	0	n	0.44	hist	no
World War 3	world war 3	1	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.42	hist	yes
Comrade Kamala 3+ times	comrade kamala#3	3	14	5	0.36	nYYYnnnnnn	0.38	hist	no
Black Jobs	black job	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.35	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	15	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.16	hist	no
Aurora	aurora	1	0	0			0.52	prior	yes
Congo	congo	1	0	0			0.52	prior	yes
Million 15+ times	million#15	15	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Missile Shield	missile shield	1	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Palestinian	palestinian	1	0	0			0.52	prior	no
President Xi 3+ times	president xi#3	3	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Tax Queen	tax queen	1	0	0			0.52	prior	no