# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-11-01 · 19 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-warren-mi-rally · as_of 2026-10-25T18:02:55Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-11-01 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-warren-mi-rally (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market group over which terms Donald Trump will use during his rally in Warren, Michigan scheduled for November 1, 2024, 4:30 PM ET.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trans	tran	1	30	24	0.8	YYYYYYYYYY	0.84	hist	yes
Pocahontas	pocahonta	1	8	6	0.75	nYYYnYYY	0.72	hist	yes
Garbage	garbage	1	2	2	1	YY	0.65	hist	yes
Venezuela/Venezuelan 5+ times	venezuela|venezuelan#5	5	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	no
Wall Street	wall street	1	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	yes
Trump Reciprocal Trade Act	trump reciprocal trade act	1	1	0	0	n	0.45	hist	yes
Gun 5+ times	gun#5	5	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	yes
Hitler	hitler	1	5	1	0.2	nnnYn	0.39	hist	yes
Melania	melania	1	4	1	0.25	nnYn	0.35	hist	no
Border 30+ times	border#30	30	20	4	0.2	nYnnnnnnnn	0.24	hist	no
God 5+ times	god#5	5	4	0	0	nnnn	0.24	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	41	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.04	hist	no
Gamble	gamble	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Lisa McClain	lisa mcclain	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Michigan 20+ times	michigan#20	20	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Mike Rogers	mike roger	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Petrified	petrified	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Shanghai	shanghai	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	20	14	0.7	YYYnYYYYYY