# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-11-02 · 21 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-virginia-rally · as_of 2026-10-27T05:27:08Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-11-02 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-virginia-rally (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting terms used by Trump during his rally in Salem, Virginia scheduled for November 2, 2024.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Women's Sports	women's sport	1	9	8	0.89	nYYYYYYYY	0.79	hist	yes
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	18	15	0.83	YYYYYYYYYY	0.79	hist	yes
Pocahontas	pocahonta	1	9	7	0.78	nYYYnYYYY	0.75	hist	yes
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	20	14	0.7	YYYnYYYYYY	0.75	hist	yes
Missile Defense Shield	missile defense shield	1	10	8	0.8	YYYnYYYnYY	0.7	hist	yes
Capone	capone	1	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	no
Frack/Fracking 4+ times	frack|fracking#4	4	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	no
American Dream 3+ times	american dream#3	3	5	3	0.6	YnYnY	0.54	hist	yes
China 10+ times	china#10	10	18	7	0.39	nnnnYYnYnn	0.4	hist	no
Tax 20+ times	tax#20	20	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	0.32	hist	no
Melania	melania	1	5	1	0.2	nnYnn	0.3	hist	no
Weave	weave	1	5	1	0.2	nnnYn	0.28	hist	yes
Mars	mar	1	4	0	0	nnnn	0.27	hist	no
Tampon	tampon	1	35	10	0.29	nnnnnnnnnn	0.25	hist	no
Border 30+ times	border#30	30	21	4	0.19	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.23	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	42	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.03	hist	no
Hung Cao	hung cao	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
John McGuire	john mcguire	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Peanut/Squirrel	peanut|squirrel	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Russia 3+ times	russia#3	3	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Vote 30+ times	vote#30	30	0	0			0.49	prior	yes