# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2025-01-19 · 16 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-victory-rally · as_of 2026-10-24T00:37:15Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-01-19 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-victory-rally (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predictions about the statements made by Trump at his victory rally.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Israel	israel	1	11	11	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.7	hist	no
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	1	13	9	0.69	YYnnYYYYYY	0.67	hist	no
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	26	17	0.65	YYYYYnYnnY	0.66	hist	no
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	22	16	0.73	YYYYYYYnnn	0.65	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.59	hist	yes
God 3+ times	god#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	no
Elon Musk	elon musk	1	8	5	0.62	YnnYYnYY	0.54	hist	yes
Greenland	greenland	1	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	no
Border 10+ times	border#10	10	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.51	hist	yes
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	1	2	0	0	nn	0.46	hist	no
Crooked Joe	crooked joe	1	0	0			0.46	hist	no
Doge/Dogecoin	doge|dogecoin	1	0	0			0.43	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	52	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.05	hist	yes
Hell 3+ times	hell#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.48	prior	yes
Kamala 5+ times	kamala#5	5	0	0			0.48	prior	no
TikTok	tiktok	1	0	0			0.48	prior	yes