# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-03-31 · 12 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-todays-executive-order-signing · as_of 2026-10-27T19:16:06Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-03-31 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-todays-executive-order-signing (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Putin	putin	1	16	13	0.81	YnYYYYYnYY	0.55	hist	yes
Greenland	greenland	1	6	3	0.5	YnnnYY	0.46	hist	no
China 3+ times	china#3	3	8	5	0.62	YnYYYnYn	0.42	hist	yes
Fake news	fake new	1	12	7	0.58	YYYYYYnnYn	0.41	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	1	6	3	0.5	YYnnYn	0.37	hist	yes
Iran	iran	1	8	4	0.5	YnnYYnYn	0.34	hist	no
Apple	apple	1	1	0	0	n	0.33	hist	yes
Tariff 20+ times	tariff#20	20	1	0	0	n	0.33	hist	no
NATO	nato	1	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.25	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	22	5	0.23	nYnnnnnYnn	0.18	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	73	2	0.03	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07	hist	
Third term	third term	1	0	0			0.35	prior	yes