# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · presser 2024-08-15 · 13 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-thursday-press-conference · as_of 2026-10-27T05:32:50Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-08-15 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-thursday-press-conference (every P row; the listed term = w): What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
MAGA	maga	4	4	1	YYYY	0.53	hist	yes
Fake News	fake new	2	0	0	nn	0.36	hist	yes
Bitcoin	bitcoin	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Crypto	crypto	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Tampon	tampon	1	1	1	Y	0.41	prior	yes
Artificial Intelligence	artificial intelligence	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
China	china	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Couch	couch	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Debate	debate	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Elon Musk	elon musk	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Fire/Fired	fire|fired	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Illegal Immigration	illegal immigration	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Lisp	lisp	0	0			0.41	prior	no