# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-12-22 · 21 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-shipbuilding-announcement · as_of 2026-10-26T14:23:22Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-12-22 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-shipbuilding-announcement (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times	billion|million|trillion#10	10	20	12	0.6	nYYYnYYYYn	0.6	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	135	101	0.75	nYnYnYYnYY	0.59	hist	yes
Mental institution	mental institution	1	6	5	0.83	YnYYYY	0.57	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	1	102	56	0.55	YnnnnYYnnY	0.55	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	94	65	0.69	YYYnYnnYnY	0.52	hist	yes
F-35	f 35	1	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.5	hist	yes
Hell	hell	1	15	7	0.47	nYnYYnnYYn	0.5	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	75	32	0.43	YnnYYYYYYY	0.5	hist	yes
Eight wars	eight war	1	22	13	0.59	YYYYnYnnYY	0.46	hist	yes
Japan / South Korea	japan|south korea	1	0	0			0.46	hist	no
Peace in the Middle East	peace in the middle east	1	7	4	0.57	YYYnYnn	0.4	hist	no
Venezuela	venezuela	1	12	6	0.5	YYYnnnnnnY	0.35	hist	yes
N Word	n word	1	2	0	0	nn	0.35	hist	no
Operation / Spear	operation|spear	1	1	0	0	n	0.33	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	1	34	15	0.44	YnnnYYnYnY	0.32	hist	no
Submarine	submarine	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.32	hist	yes
Maduro	maduro	1	30	6	0.2	nYnnnnnnnn	0.25	hist	yes
Any questions	any question	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Coast Guard / Cutter	coast guard|cutter	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Drug / Gang 7+ times	drug|gang#7	7	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Ship / Boat 7+ times	boat|ship#7	7	0	0			0.4	prior	yes