# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2025-12-19 · 22 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-rocky-mount-rally · as_of 2026-10-26T12:05:48Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-12-19 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-rocky-mount-rally (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Mental Institution	mental institution	1	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.58	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	67	43	0.64	nnYnYYYYYY	0.58	hist	yes
Mexico	mexico	1	12	9	0.75	nYYnYYYnYY	0.57	hist	yes
Minnesota / Walz	minnesota|walz	1	2	2	1	YY	0.56	hist	yes
Pam / Bondi	bondi|pam	1	7	7	1	YYYYYYY	0.54	hist	no
Eight Wars	eight war	1	18	11	0.61	YnnnYYYYnY	0.54	hist	yes
Windmill	windmill	1	7	4	0.57	YnnYYnY	0.54	hist	no
Beautiful Coal / Clean Coal	beautiful coal|clean coal	1	2	2	1	YY	0.51	hist	no
Tom / Homan	homan|tom	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.51	hist	no
Hell 10+ times	hell#10	10	2	1	0.5	nY	0.49	hist	yes
AI / Artificial intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	71	28	0.39	nYYnYnnYYY	0.48	hist	yes
Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times	billion|million|trillion#20	20	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.47	hist	yes
Autopen	autopen	1	26	12	0.46	nnnnnYnYYY	0.47	hist	yes
Joe / Biden 10+ times	biden|joe#10	10	0	0			0.47	hist	yes
Olympics	olympic	1	13	5	0.38	YYYnnYnnnY	0.46	hist	yes
Farmer	farmer	1	9	4	0.44	YnYYnnnnY	0.44	hist	yes
ISIS	isis	1	1	0	0	n	0.44	hist	yes
Midterm	midterm	1	1	0	0	n	0.43	hist	yes
Maduro / Venezuela	maduro|venezuela	1	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.4	hist	no
Beautiful 20+ times	beautiful#20	20	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Ted / Cruz	cruz|ted	1	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
War 6+ times	war#6	6	0	0			0.48	prior	no