# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-10-21 · 9 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-diwali-celebration · as_of 2026-10-27T03:05:54Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-10-21 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P, res yes · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-diwali-celebration (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Tariff	tariff	1	40	32	0.8	YYnnYYYYYY	0.66	hist
Putin	putin	1	41	27	0.66	YYYnnnYnnn	0.56	hist
Russia	russia	1	33	19	0.58	nYYYnnnnYY	0.5	hist
Hindu / Hinduism	hindu|hinduism	1	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist
Kash / Patel	kash|patel	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.38	hist
Oil	oil	1	19	5	0.26	nnYYnnnnnY	0.33	hist
India 3+ times	india#3	3	0	0			0.4	prior
Modi	modi	1	0	0			0.4	prior
Trillion / Million / Billion 3+ times	billion|million|trillion#3	3	0	0			0.4	prior