# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-02-18 · 23 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-black-history-month-reception · as_of 2026-10-27T21:25:08Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-02-18 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-black-history-month-reception (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on February 18, 2026.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Stock Market	stock market	1	35	20	0.57	YYYYYYYYnY	1	1	0.6	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	125	86	0.69	nYYYnnYYYY	1	1	0.58	hist	no
Hat / MAGA	hat|maga	1	0	0			1	0	0.56	hist	yes
Border	border	1	99	61	0.62	YYnYnYYnYY	1	1	0.54	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	1	145	79	0.54	nYnnnYYYnY	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
Crime	crime	1	11	5	0.45	nnYnnYYnnY	1	1	0.47	hist	yes
Midterm	midterm	1	3	2	0.67	nYY	1	0	0.45	hist	no
Beautiful 5+ times	beautiful#5	5	9	4	0.44	nYnYnnYYn	1	1	0.44	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	179	127	0.71	YYnnnnYYYY	1	1	0.43	hist	yes
Smart / High IQ	high iq|smart	1	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.41	hist	yes
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	1	4	2	0.5	nYYn	1	1	0.41	hist	yes
Golf / Golfer	golf|golfer	1	2	1	0.5	nY	1	1	0.4	hist	no
Television / TV	television|tv	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	1	0.37	hist	no
Slave / Slavery	slave|slavery	1	0	0			1	1	0.37	hist	no
VoterID / Voter ID	voter id|voterid	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.32	hist	no
Congress / Shutdown	congress|shutdown	1	0	0			1	1	0.32	hist	no
Patriot / Hero	hero|patriot	1	2	0	0	nn	1	1	0.3	hist	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	273	26	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.05	hist	no
Black American 5+ times	black american#5	5	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	yes
Black Vote	black vote	1	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	no
BLM / Black Lives Matter	black lives matter|blm	1	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	no
Jesse / Jackson	jackson|jesse	1	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	yes
Love Trump	love trump	1	0	0			1	1	0.39	prior	no