# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-08-17 · 16 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-saturday-rally · as_of 2026-10-27T20:05:11Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-08-17 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-saturday-rally (every P row; the listed term = w): What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
MAGA	maga	1	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.6	hist	yes
Tampon	tampon	1	2	2	1	YY	0.52	hist	yes
Debate	debate	1	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Elon Musk	elon musk	1	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	no
Fire/Fired	fire|fired	1	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Secret Service	secret service	1	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	no
Fake News	fake new	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.45	hist	yes
Bitcoin	bitcoin	1	2	0	0	nn	0.42	hist	no
Crypto	crypto	1	2	0	0	nn	0.42	hist	no
Couch	couch	1	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	no
Drill baby drill	drill baby drill	1	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Ear 3+ times	ear#3	3	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Gag	gag	1	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Illegal Immigration 3+ times	illegal immigration#3	3	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Iran	iran	1	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
MAGA 5+ times	maga#5	5	0	0			0.47	prior	no