# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · podcast_episode 2024-10-25 · 25 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-rogan-podcast · as_of 2026-10-27T09:54:12Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-25 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-rogan-podcast (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market group on predicting the statements made by Trump during his interview on the Joe Rogan podcast scheduled to be released on Friday
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trans	tran	1	25	19	0.76	nYYYYYYYYY	0.66	hist	yes
Elon	elon	1	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.63	hist	yes
China 5+ times	china#5	5	8	7	0.88	YnYYYYYY	0.61	hist	yes
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	12	9	0.75	YYYYnnYYYY	0.6	hist	yes
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	13	8	0.62	YnYYnYYYYY	0.54	hist	no
Fake News	fake new	1	9	6	0.67	nnYYYYYYn	0.53	hist	no
Pocahontas	pocahonta	1	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.51	hist	no
Women's Sports	women's sport	1	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.5	hist	yes
FBI	fbi	1	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	yes
Dark MAGA	dark maga	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.45	hist	no
Tax 10+	tax#10	10	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.45	hist	yes
Hitler	hitler	1	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Russia 5+ times	russia#5	5	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	yes
FEMA	fema	1	4	1	0.25	nYnn	0.38	hist	no
Melania	melania	1	2	0	0	nn	0.37	hist	yes
Weave	weave	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.34	hist	yes
Tampon	tampon	1	30	10	0.33	nnYnnnnnnn	0.33	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	32	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.12	hist	no
Alien	alien	1	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Cold Plunge	cold plunge	1	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Dana	dana	1	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Kennedy	kennedy	1	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Vaccine	vaccine	1	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Weed	weed	1	0	0			0.44	prior	no