# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2024-10-20 · 21 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania-town-hall-oct-20 · as_of 2026-10-27T07:21:26Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-20 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania-town-hall-oct-20 (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his Pennsylvania town hall.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Elon	elon	1	4	4	1	YYYY	0.57	hist	yes
Trans	tran	1	21	15	0.71	nYYYnYYYYY	0.49	hist	yes
Drill baby drill	drill baby drill	1	11	7	0.64	nnYYnnYYYY	0.49	hist	yes
Hispanic 3+ times	hispanic#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	no
Get out and vote	get out and vote	1	1	1	1	Y	0.44	hist	yes
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	10	5	0.5	nnnYnYYnYY	0.44	hist	yes
MAGA 3+ times	maga#3	3	10	6	0.6	YnYnYYYYnn	0.42	hist	yes
Frack/Fracking 3+ times	frack|fracking#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.4	hist	yes
Inflation 5+ times	inflation#5	5	1	1	1	Y	0.39	hist	yes
China 3+ times	china#3	3	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.39	hist	yes
Liquid gold	liquid gold	1	1	1	1	Y	0.38	hist	yes
Hamas	hama	1	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.38	hist	no
Comrade Kamala	comrade kamala	1	7	3	0.43	YYnnnYn	0.36	hist	no
Tips	tip	1	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.35	hist	yes
Border 10+ times	border#10	10	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.31	hist	yes
60 Minutes	60 minute	1	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
AI	ai	1	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	0.27	hist	no
Women's sports	women's sport	1	1	0	0	n	0.27	hist	yes
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	27	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08	hist	no
Kamala 10+ times	kamala#10	10	0	0			0.33	prior	no
Russia	russia	1	0	0			0.33	prior	yes