# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-10-05 · 23 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania-rally-oct-5 · as_of 2026-10-26T14:23:22Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-05 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania-rally-oct-5 (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during a rally event in Butler, Pennsylvania on October 5, 2024.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Million 10+ times	million#10	10	7	6	0.86	YYYYYYn	0.73	hist	yes
Trans	tran	1	12	7	0.58	nYYYYnnYYn	0.67	hist	yes
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	7	5	0.71	YnYYYYn	0.63	hist	no
Secret Service	secret service	1	5	4	0.8	YnYYY	0.6	hist	yes
China 10+ times	china#10	10	5	3	0.6	YYnYn	0.59	hist	yes
Tesla	tesla	1	1	0	0	n	0.48	hist	yes
Golf	golf	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.47	hist	no
Disgrace 2+ times	disgrace#2	2	1	0	0	n	0.47	hist	no
Tampon	tampon	1	20	9	0.45	nYnnnnnnnn	0.45	hist	no
Border 30+ times	border#30	30	4	1	0.25	nYnn	0.44	hist	no
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	2	0	0	nn	0.43	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	19	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	1	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Bullet 3+ times	bullet#3	3	0	0			0.52	prior	yes
Elon 5+ times	elon#5	5	0	0			0.52	prior	yes
God 4+ times	god#4	4	0	0			0.52	prior	yes
Kamala 30+ times	kamala#30	30	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Liquid Gold 2+ times	liquid gold#2	2	0	0			0.52	prior	yes
Miracle	miracle	1	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Phone App	phone app	1	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Starlink	starlink	1	0	0			0.52	prior	yes
Stone-cold 3+ times	stone cold#3	3	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Tax 20+ times	tax#20	20	0	0			0.52	prior	no