# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-10-26 · 22 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania-rally-oct-26 · as_of 2026-10-27T07:50:54Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-26 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania-rally-oct-26 (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market group over predicting which statements will be made by Trump during his rally in State College, Pennsylvania on October 26, at 4:00 PM ET. https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-s…
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trans	tran	1	27	21	0.78	YYYYYYYYYY	0.82	hist	yes
Tren de Aragua	tren de aragua	1	5	4	0.8	nYYYY	0.72	hist	yes
McDonald's	mcdonald	1	14	11	0.79	YYnnYYYYYY	0.72	hist	yes
Missile Defense Shield	missile defense shield	1	6	5	0.83	YYYnYY	0.69	hist	yes
Women's Sports	women's sport	1	5	4	0.8	nYYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Beach	beach	1	4	2	0.5	nYYn	0.55	hist	yes
NAFTA	nafta	1	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.5	hist	no
French Fries	french fry	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.5	hist	yes
China 10+ times	china#10	10	16	7	0.44	nnnnnnYYnY	0.46	hist	no
Border 25+ times	border#25	25	13	5	0.38	YYYnnnnYnn	0.43	hist	no
God 5+ times	god#5	5	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Mars	mar	1	2	0	0	nn	0.39	hist	no
Unrealized	unrealized	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.38	hist	no
Border 35+ times	border#35	35	2	0	0	nn	0.35	hist	no
Phone App	phone app	1	2	0	0	nn	0.35	hist	no
Tampon	tampon	1	31	10	0.32	nYnnnnnnnn	0.3	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	34	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.05	hist	no
Economic Wasteland	economic wasteland	1	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Frack/Fracking 5+ times	frack|fracking#5	5	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Sanctuary City	sanctuary city	1	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Tax 25+ times	tax#25	25	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Teleprompter 3+ times	teleprompter#3	3	0	0			0.51	prior	yes