# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2024-10-09 · 19 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania-rally-Oct-9 · as_of 2026-10-27T22:13:05Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-10-09 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania-rally-Oct-9 (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his rally in Pennsylvania.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trans	tran	1	14	9	0.64	YYYnnYYnYY	0.74	hist	yes
Missile defense shield	missile defense shield	1	2	2	1	YY	0.67	hist	yes
Drill baby drill	drill baby drill	1	8	4	0.5	YnnYYnnY	0.6	hist	yes
China 10+ times	china#10	10	7	4	0.57	YYnYnYn	0.56	hist	no
Green new scam	green new scam	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.56	hist	no
God	god	1	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
Tax 20+ times	tax#20	20	2	1	0.5	nY	0.51	hist	no
Border 30+ times	border#30	30	6	2	0.33	nYnnnY	0.46	hist	no
Border 20+ times	border#20	20	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.45	hist	no
Tampon	tampon	1	22	9	0.41	nnnnnnnnnn	0.39	hist	yes
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	21	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.1	hist	no
Elon 3+ times	elon#3	3	0	0			0.53	prior	yes
FEMA	fema	1	0	0			0.53	prior	no
Fracking 3+ times	fracking#3	3	0	0			0.53	prior	yes
Hurricane	hurricane	1	0	0			0.53	prior	yes
Kamala 25+ times	kamala#25	25	0	0			0.53	prior	yes
Kamala 35+ times	kamala#35	35	0	0			0.53	prior	no
Milton	milton	1	0	0			0.53	prior	no
Too big to rig	too big to rig	1	0	0			0.53	prior	yes